How Economic Trends Influence Mortgage Lending

As a consumer, understanding these economic trends can empower you to make informed decisions about your mortgage. Let’s discuss some key economic factors that influence mortgage lending and what they mean for you. Interest Rates: The Pulse of Mortgage Lending Interest rates are perhaps the most significant economic indicator affecting mortgage lending. When the Federal Reserve adjusts its benchmark interest rate, it directly impacts the rates banks offer on mortgages. Low-Interest Rates: In a low-interest-rate environment, borrowing costs decrease, making mortgages more affordable. This often leads to increased home buying, as lower monthly payments are more attractive to consumers. High-Interest…
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What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – June 24th, 2024

Currently, the Retail Sales Report is the sole report that has weight. With the passage of more optimistic inflation data reports, retail sales coming in slightly under expectations will have little to no bearing on the overall outlook. Given the last major reports indicating the economy's health and state of inflation, there is more optimism toward a potential rate cut this year. Lending partners have still been quick to continue cutting rates. Consumer Price Index Sales at U.S. retailers barely rose in May, suggesting Americans are feeling the weight of lingering inflation and high interest rates. Sales edged up 0.1%…
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What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – June 17th, 2024

A welcome and unexpected data release for both the PPI and CPI shows inflation expectations coming in lower than expected. The positive news was somewhat mitigated by the hawkish FOMC rate decision that also took place during the same week. Still, there is more optimism given that the data releases in the past 30 days have shown signs of inflation coming under control. At the very least, it suggests that the Federal Reserve's policy to keep inflation under control has been effective. As a result, lending partners have quickly cut rates again after the meeting this week. Consumer Price Index…
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What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – June 10th, 2024

With the CPI and PPI reports coming up this week, the previous week was light on reports of any significance. Most notable was the Non-Farm Payrolls which can have an outsized impact on inflation data reporting, as it’s a useful barometer to compare the cost of goods to the payroll of the average consumer. Following that is the ISM Manufacturing Index which came in slightly under expectations. Lastly, the JOLTS Job Openings is a minor indicator, but useful for seeing the state of the job market. Non-Farm Payrolls Wages are growing by about 4%. The Federal Reserve wants to see…
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What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – June 3rd, 2024

The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation data, the PCE Index, was the highlight of this week. These were followed up loosely by trade balance, retail inventories, and GDP — all of which are strong secondary indicators for current inflation. For lending partners and those affiliated with broader markets, inflation is the key determining factor for rate adjustments, and other data at this point has a nominal impact in comparison. It does appear the Federal Reserve wants to have a strong hand towards inflation and will be careful about cutting rates even this year.  The broader market is holding such expectations as…
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